Aarau U18 vs FC Basel U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
70.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
12º
8º
58
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 1
TAA
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
0 - 2
LSS
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
0 - 1
TAA
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
2 - 2
TWC
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BYB
3 - 2
TAA
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Basel U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
FLK
77%
14%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TTI
2 - 2
FCB
10%
14%
76%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 0
FCS
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
5 - 6
FCB
16%
17%
67%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
GCZ
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |