Team Aargau U16 vs Team Vaud U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
13º
51
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
4 - 1
TMA
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TMA
1 - 1
WNT
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
YNB
4 - 0
TMA
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 0
NXA
84%
11%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STG
2 - 3
TMA
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Team Vaud U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TMV
6 - 1
LUZ
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TTC
1 - 2
TMV
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TMV
6 - 4
FCS
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 2
TMV
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TMV
0 - 3
GRA
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |