Team Aargau U16 vs FC Thun U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+163%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
WNT
4 - 1
TMA
86%
10%
5%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TXX
5 - 1
TMA
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TMA
1 - 3
FCS
18%
18%
64%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
TMA
1 - 3
YNB
13%
15%
72%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TTC
5 - 5
TMA
81%
11%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FCT
2 - 1
TXX
27%
20%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
STG
3 - 3
FCT
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FCT
1 - 0
SFC
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 4
TMV
26%
20%
55%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
WNT
4 - 1
FCT
72%
16%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |