Team Aargau U16 vs FC Thun U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
15%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+171%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCZ
1 - 4
TMA
89%
7%
4%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TMA
0 - 2
FCB
7%
11%
81%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 3
TMA
87%
9%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TMA
1 - 6
STG
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TTC
5 - 1
TMA
51%
20%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 1
FCS
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
YNB
2 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 4
TMV
13%
16%
71%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 4
GRA
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
1 - 4
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | +3 |