Team Aargau U16 vs FC Luzern U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
44.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
13º
46
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 1
TTC
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 0
TMA
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 3
SFC
24%
20%
57%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 2
TMA
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 5
TMA
74%
14%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC Luzern U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 0
STG
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TTC
1 - 4
LUZ
21%
19%
61%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 0
FCS
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 2
TMA
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 1
LUZ
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |