Team Aargau U16 vs FC Basel U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
83%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
13º
56
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NXA
1 - 0
TMA
31%
20%
49%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
0 - 4
STG
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 4
LUZ
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 1
TTC
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 0
TMA
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
FC Basel U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
STG
1 - 5
FCB
8%
12%
81%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TMV
1 - 2
FCB
20%
18%
62%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCZ
2 - 1
FCB
34%
20%
46%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
WNT
1 - 5
FCB
12%
15%
73%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |