TVD Velbert vs Union Frintrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
14º
13º
33
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 4% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TVD Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 1
TDV
18%
21%
62%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TDV
3 - 3
SON
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NET
3 - 4
TDV
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
TDV
2 - 2
HIL
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
STR
0 - 3
TDV
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DJK
0 - 0
TEU
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
DJK
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
0 - 2
KFC
11%
16%
74%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 2
DJK
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
2 - 1
FCB
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |