Toledo EC vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 0
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
TCW
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
TCW
71%
21%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 2
COT
9%
19%
73%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PST
1 - 1
TCW
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
JMA
2 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 3
CAS
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
PST
71%
18%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 0
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |