Toledo EC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
76.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 0
TCW
63%
23%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TCW
0 - 0
PAR
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 1
TCW
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
FOZ
1 - 1
TCW
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TCW
1 - 0
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LON
0 - 3
COT
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
COT
6%
15%
80%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COT
0 - 1
ATP
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CEU
0 - 1
COT
3%
9%
89%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | -1 |