Toledo EC vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
TCW
1 - 1
PAB
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAB
0 - 2
TCW
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TCW
1 - 1
POL
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 1
TCW
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
APU
0 - 1
TCW
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 1
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
ACP
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAB
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 1
PST
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CIA
0 - 0
ACP
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |