Tajikistan vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
JOR
0 - 1
TJK
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
JOR
2 - 0
TJK
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
UAE
3 - 2
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UZB
2 - 1
TJK
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
KGZ
1 - 1
TJK
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MMR
1 - 0
MNG
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
KHM
1 - 1
MNG
53%
20%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MNG
1 - 2
KGZ
12%
18%
70%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
JPN
6 - 0
MNG
92%
6%
2%
|
31 | 88 | 57 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MNG
0 - 1
TJK
6%
11%
83%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |