Tajikistan U23 vs Hong Kong U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
UZB
2 - 0
TJK
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 1
KWT
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TJK
0 - 0
JOR
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
TOG
1 - 0
TJK
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
IRN
1 - 2
TJK
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Hong Kong U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
UZB
3 - 0
HKG
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
IDN
3 - 1
HKG
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
HKG
1 - 1
PLE
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
HKG
4 - 0
TWN
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LAO
1 - 3
HKG
12%
21%
68%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |