Tajikistan U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
LTU
67%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
0 - 2
LTU
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 0
LTU
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |