TAWA vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
70.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TAWA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
UHC
1 - 3
TAW
40%
21%
39%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TAW
1 - 4
WSU
12%
15%
73%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VUN
1 - 4
TAW
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
TAW
2 - 3
WKA
18%
18%
65%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
TAW
10 - 1
DVF
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
WKA
3 - 1
WAF
91%
6%
2%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
PET
2 - 2
WKA
39%
21%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 4
WKA
83%
10%
7%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
2 - 2
WSU
41%
21%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
5 - 0
WKA
56%
20%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |