Tavua vs Savusavu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TAV
1 - 4
LAB
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TAV
0 - 4
LAU
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NAD
2 - 0
TAV
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LAU
6 - 0
TAV
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAV
2 - 7
TAV
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Savusavu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAD
4 - 1
SAV
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAV
0 - 4
NAV
44%
24%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAV
1 - 4
REW
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAV
2 - 7
TAV
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAV
1 - 3
BAF
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |