Tavua vs Savusavu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TAV
0 - 1
NAD
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BAF
4 - 0
TAV
63%
18%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SUV
3 - 1
TAV
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 1
TAV
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LAB
1 - 1
TAV
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Savusavu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 3
SUV
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LAB
2 - 0
SAV
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 5
LAU
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
REW
3 - 0
SAV
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
SAV
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |