Tavua vs Savusavu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
FIJ
2 - 0
TAV
42%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TAV
1 - 1
NAD
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
7 - 0
LAB
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
1 - 3
REW
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 2
BAF
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Savusavu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
LAU
4 - 1
SAV
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SAV
0 - 1
LAB
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
NAD
5 - 1
SAV
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SAV
3 - 2
NAD
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |