Taverne vs FC Paradiso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
11º
11º
65
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCG
4 - 2
TAV
45%
22%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TAV
1 - 1
UZW
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
KRE
1 - 3
TAV
54%
21%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
IBA
0 - 2
TAV
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TAV
2 - 3
FCC
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 1
WIN
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCP
24%
25%
52%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
4 - 1
KOS
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
USC
5 - 1
FCP
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 0
BAD
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |