Taverne vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
84.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCW
3 - 1
TAV
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DIE
2 - 0
TAV
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
GCB
0 - 3
TAV
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TAV
0 - 2
ASC
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
EMM
0 - 0
TAV
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCV
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIO
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |