Tauro II vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
3º
2º
7
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
95.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tauro II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 4
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 0
AFC
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 3
TFC
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
CDP
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 3
TFC
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
UDP
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SSM
3 - 2
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
CHA
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
COL
4%
10%
86%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
ARA
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +2 |