Tauro II vs Alianza II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
2º
18
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tauro II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 2
TFC
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 0
CDP
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
TFC
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
COL
1 - 7
TFC
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMA
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
PCF
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 0
CDE
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
AFC
25%
20%
55%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +2 |