Tauranga vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
TCU
5 - 0
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
NSH
0 - 0
TCU
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 1
TCU
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
TCU
3 - 2
MIR
31%
24%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
WAI
0 - 3
TCU
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 6
NAP
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAN
5 - 2
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
DUN
4 - 1
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
WAI
2 - 2
DUN
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 2
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |