Tauranga vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
TCU
2 - 0
CAN
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
TCU
3 - 4
NAP
32%
23%
45%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 7
TCU
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 3
TCU
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MTW
4 - 2
TCU
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 2
MIR
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
NSH
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 2
MTW
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 0
DUN
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CEN
1 - 1
DUN
72%
17%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |