Tasmania Berlin vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
TAS
2 - 2
HZE
8%
16%
76%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TUM
1 - 0
TAS
61%
19%
21%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
NEU
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SCS
4 - 3
TAS
48%
22%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 1
MAH
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
RFC
4 - 1
SVS
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 5
HZE
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RSV
1 - 3
SVS
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SVS
3 - 1
TUM
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
SVS
16%
18%
66%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |