Tasmania Berlin vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
70
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 0
TAS
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 1
OPT
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
4 - 3
DSC
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 0
BSC
78%
13%
8%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 0
TAS
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
HZE
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 3
LIC
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
LIC
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
LIC
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAB
2 - 0
LIC
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |