Tasmania Berlin vs Hansa Rostock II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
12º
10º
60
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TAS
4 - 3
HZE
8%
14%
78%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 2
TAS
31%
21%
48%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
ALT
6%
13%
81%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 7
42%
21%
37%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 2
VIK
9%
17%
75%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 1
HAN
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 2
HAN
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 3
HER
38%
23%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 2
HAN
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
BFC
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |