Tarup-Paarup vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
3º
3º
21
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarup-Paarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 3
TAR
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
TAR
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 3
OKS
45%
23%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HED
1 - 1
TAR
37%
24%
40%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 1
RIN
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OTB
1 - 1
VAR
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
B19
2 - 0
VAR
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
VAR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |