Tartu Welco II vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 1
TJK
11%
14%
76%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
4 - 0
TJK
18%
17%
66%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -3 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TJK
3 - 2
TKL
69%
16%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
TIN
3 - 1
TJK
80%
13%
8%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
TJK
6 - 1
MTU
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 2
AJA
68%
16%
15%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
3 - 0
AJA
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
FCP
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 54 | 41 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
HUN
2 - 2
AJA
50%
20%
30%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCH
5 - 0
AJA
84%
10%
7%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |