Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 1-13
Tartu FC Santos vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu FC Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
EMM
2 - 7
TFS
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TFS
5 - 0
FCA
84%
11%
6%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
TFS
4 - 1
FCE
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TFS
4 - 0
SKA
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
FLO
4 - 4
TFS
44%
22%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
ULL
1 - 3
TRO
17%
25%
59%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
TRO
2 - 3
BRY
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 0
SDF
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 2
BOG
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
HOD
0 - 2
TRO
26%
27%
48%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |