Tartu Santos II vs Narva United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
69%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Santos II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PIR
3 - 1
TFC
28%
21%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 3
TJK
34%
20%
46%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MST
3 - 2
TFC
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TFC
7 - 1
FCA
73%
15%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
TFC
64%
17%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Narva United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
PAR
55%
21%
25%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 2
MER
50%
22%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
KJK
0 - 4
NAR
5%
11%
84%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
PIR
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MRU
1 - 1
NAR
13%
16%
71%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |