Tarrawanna Blueys vs UNSW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
48.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarrawanna Blueys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 2
TBS
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SNW
1 - 5
TBS
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UNSW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
GKA
0 - 3
UOW
8%
13%
80%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
UOW
3 - 1
BCL
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +4 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
MDT
3 - 1
UOW
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LAS
2 - 4
UOW
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MDS
0 - 7
UOW
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |