Tarifa UD vs Guadiaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarifa UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UDT
2 - 1
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 3
UDT
49%
23%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UDT
0 - 0
CDV
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
JSA
1 - 1
UDT
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDT
1 - 1
VIL
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guadiaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHI
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CDV
1 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
JSA
29%
22%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
GUA
66%
19%
16%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 5
BCA
57%
21%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |