Targówek vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Targówek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 1
WSI
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HWP
1 - 2
TAR
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TAR
0 - 0
PBI
45%
23%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MRP
1 - 2
TAR
14%
20%
66%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TAR
0 - 1
LWA
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
0 - 0
SOT
59%
23%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SOT
2 - 0
ZZP
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LTM
2 - 1
SOT
61%
22%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SOT
0 - 0
KFC
35%
25%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SOT
1 - 2
OKL
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |