Tarbes vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CUG
0 - 1
TAR
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BER
0 - 0
TAR
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
TAR
4 - 1
BEZ
31%
26%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 0
BLA
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
TAR
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 0
COG
25%
24%
52%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BEZ
2 - 1
COG
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
COG
3 - 0
CUG
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
COG
2 - 1
BER
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BLA
2 - 2
COG
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |