Taranto vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
TAR
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
CAM
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 0
TAR
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAG
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 2
TAR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FRA
4 - 1
RPO
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
USV
1 - 2
FRA
24%
29%
47%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
FRA
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 1
FCC
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |