Taranto vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
TAR
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
RAA
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
TAR
41%
28%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
TAR
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 0
TAR
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 2
FBC
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 2
SAR
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 3
AEE
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
GEL
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |