Taranto vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
8%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 2
TAR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
USV
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 2
PAG
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
FON
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
USF
3 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 1
CAT
28%
29%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |