Tanzania vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2002 |
TAN
2 - 0
BDI
73%
16%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 1
SDN
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 0
KEN
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 1
RSA
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
TAN
0 - 2
UGA
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
KEN
4 - 1
ERI
87%
10%
2%
|
16 | 71 | 55 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ERI
2 - 1
SDN
19%
24%
58%
|
14 | 67 | 53 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BDI
1 - 1
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
8%
19%
73%
|
14 | 76 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SYC
1 - 0
ERI
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |