El Tanque Sisley vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ETS
1 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ETS
2 - 0
CER
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 0
ETS
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ETS
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 2
ETS
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 1
BVS
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 3
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
0 - 2
DEF
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 3
CER
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |