El Tanque Sisley vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 1
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 1
ETS
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FEN
0 - 1
ETS
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CSM
0 - 1
ETS
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ETS
0 - 2
CER
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MWA
0 - 1
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LFC
1 - 2
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
DEF
4 - 1
RIV
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 3
DEF
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |