TP-T vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
2.5%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.1%
89.6%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
4.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.8%
0-5
7.3%
1-6
3%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
10.8%
0-6
4.4%
1-7
1.6%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
6.3%
0-7
2.3%
1-8
0.7%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.1%
0-8
1.1%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.4%
0-9
0.4%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FCL
0 - 1
TPT
11%
15%
74%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TPT
2 - 1
HJM
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOK
0 - 0
TPT
52%
20%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TPT
9 - 0
TKP
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TKP
1 - 5
TPT
13%
16%
72%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
KOO
2 - 2
VAA
24%
24%
53%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VAA
4 - 3
OUL
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
VAA
5 - 0
KPV
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GIF
2 - 3
VAA
23%
21%
56%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KER
2 - 3
VAA
16%
18%
66%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |