Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 2
TAM
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 1
TAM
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
RAY
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
TAM
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 0
PNN
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 1
IND
56%
21%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CIN
1 - 0
PIT
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PNN
1 - 1
CIN
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
ORL
1 - 3
CIN
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |