Tammeka vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
9º
8º
15
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 72 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 60 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 39 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 30 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2025 |
FLO
3 - 1
TAM
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
TAM
5 - 0
TAL
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
TAM
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 1
KAL
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TRA
4 - 0
TAM
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
TRA
4 - 2
HJP
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
PAI
2 - 2
HJP
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 3
FLO
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TAL
1 - 3
HJP
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |