Tammeka II vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
10º
10º
10
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 72 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 70 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 69 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 63 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 42 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 19 |
10º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
90.5% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 1
VJK
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
WEL
3 - 2
TAM
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TAM
4 - 1
NOM
45%
23%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
JKN
0 - 2
TAM
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
KUR
1 - 4
TAM
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 2
FCE
45%
24%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
TKA
1 - 2
NOM
64%
19%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 4
MAA
11%
14%
75%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TAB
1 - 2
NOM
22%
19%
59%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 1
PAI
61%
18%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |