Tamai vs Vigasio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
TAM
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 2
TRI
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
TAM
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
TAM
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
3 - 0
VIG
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vigasio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 0
TRI
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UAR
1 - 1
VIG
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 2
CNO
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ACE
1 - 3
VIG
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIG
2 - 2
AVI
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |