Tamai vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 5
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GIO
2 - 3
TAM
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
DEL
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
TAM
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 1
ACS
45%
24%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
DEL
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 0
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
GIO
31%
25%
43%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 3
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |