Tallinna Kalev vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
8º
10º
10º
15
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 75 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
72% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TAL
3 - 2
TAM
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
HII
0 - 3
TAL
7%
14%
80%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
FLO
3 - 1
TAL
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
LEV
4 - 0
TAL
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 3
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 0
HJP
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 1
HJP
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
TRA
4 - 2
HJP
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |