Tallinna Kalev vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
10º
10º
18
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 71 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 40 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 39 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
61.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
TAL
1 - 0
PAI
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
KAL
6 - 1
TAL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 9
LEV
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
TAL
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 0
TAL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
4 - 1
HJP
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
4 - 1
TAM
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 2
PAI
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
KAL
3 - 0
HJP
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |