Talavera CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 2
TAL
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 3
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MER
2 - 2
TAL
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 4
AGU
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 3
TAL
59%
24%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
BAZ
1 - 0
RJA
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 2
RJA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |