Talavera CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
TOM
1 - 1
TAL
41%
29%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ECI
2 - 0
TAL
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 1
AGD
28%
31%
41%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UBC
2 - 1
TAL
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 1
DBN
44%
28%
28%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
36%
32%
33%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDZ
52%
27%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 3
RJA
42%
30%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDB
32%
30%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 1
RJA
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |